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PAKISTAN AT 11/5 CAN BOWL ENGLAND OVER
It seems the memory of the Ashes victory is fading fast for bettors judging by the weight of money for Pakistan to win the forthcoming Test series against England. England are 6/4 (from 5/4), with the home side available at 8/5 from an opening 2/1, and the draw at 9/4. Should Michael Vaughan miss the first game, then the price on Pakistan will shorten even more ahead of the 1st Test on Saturday (live In-Play betting available), for which they’re 11/5.

That looks a price with taking, considering that in the 21 matches played between the two sides in Pakistan, England have only won twice (Pakistan have lost only 21 out of 138 matches at home). Should they win the first match, the next two games are going to be played on nailed draw pitches. Besides, the pitch for the opening Test (and subsequent Tests) will be prepared to their advantage, probably a spinning wicket, which will suit Danish Kaneira down to the ground. When it comes to spin bowling, he has no peers (132 wickets in 28 matches), and he’s a great bet at 10/11 to be Top Pakistan Bowler.

There’s still money to be made by backing England in the other speciality markets, particularly Marcus Trescothick at 5/2 to be Top Runscorer. With doubt’s over Vaughan’s participation, and the fact that Strauss could be absent for the final Test to be with his expectant wife, that could be the bet of the series. Of course, Freddy will have his backers at 6/1, but his aggressive style will not necessarily be rewarded here. In the top bowler market, Ashley Giles looks best at 5/2 as England will be relying heavily on his spin, and he could end up bowling more overs than Flintoff and Harmison.

Pakistan v England Best Bets:

Pakistan to win the series @ 8/5
Pakistan to win 1-0 @ 11/2
Pakistan to win 1st Test @ 11/5
Danish Kaneira (top Pakistan bowler) @ 10/11
Marcus Trescothick (Top England Runscorer) @ 5/2
Ashley Giles (Top England Bowler) @ 5/2