HORSE RACING Betting
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TERMS ARE FAVOURABLE AT 16/1
Sa Oct 29
This Saturday’s Breeders Cup meeting from Belmont Park is the Super Bowl of
the racing world and, as you’d expect, offers us some excelling betting
opportunities. From a Europeans perspective, our best chance looks to be
Ouija Board (currently available at 15/8) in the ‘Filly & Mare Turf’ (7.35)
after bolting up in this race last year. However, that was on the back of a
career-best performance in the Arc, and she may be vulnerable this time,
having not shown nearly the same sort of form this season. We can still take
this prize home, however, via the British-trained Favourable Terms, who is
available at a very generous bet365 price of 16/1. Her trainer, Michael
Stoute, will be aware of what’s required to win this race having saddled
Islington to collect two years ago.
The Mile (8.45) has been one of the happier hunting grounds for the
Europeans, but our challenge doesn’t look as strong this year, and the home
side look to have it sewn up with Leroidesanimaux (6/5). However, if he ran
below form, the most likely winner would be another US-trained runner, Artie
Schiller (6/1), so it might be worth having a reverse exacta on him with the
favorite. We have a stronger hand in the Turf, where Azamour and Bago head
the market at 5/2 and 7/2 respectively, but preference is for Shirocco at
5/1, providing he gets the soft ground he loves (v. likely). In the sprint,
Lost In The Fog (11/10) will be hard to beat, but it’s not worth taking
short prices in a race like this, and you can get better odds by backing
both Silver Train (8/1) and Lion Tamer (8/1) against him. In the Classic
(10.35), Rock Hard Ten looks something to bet on at our industry best 7/2.
His pari-mutual odds on the night are likely to be much lower, a comment
that applies to the majority of the fancied US-trained runners. In the other
races I like the look of the dirt-bred Ivan Denisovich (take pari-mutual
odds) in the Juvenile (6.55), and Folklore (take 5/2) in the Juvenile
Fillies (6.20).
