NFL Football
Bet Live In Play
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LAST WEEKS WINNING
PICKS – SAN FRANCISCO, NEW ENGLAND, GREEN BAY & DALLAS (ONLY BALTIMORE
LOST!)
COLTS 5/1 TO MAKE A PERFECT RUN AT ’72 DOLPHINS
We seem to begin every week with Indy but, at this stage of the season, it’s
hard to see past the Colts in terms of the outright betting for the title.
After last week’s win over Houston, we’ve had to shorten them again to 6/4,
while they’re only 5/1 (from 6/1) to go the season unbeaten. Carolina are
now joint-second favorites after destroying the Jets with 20 fourth quarter
points, along with Pittsburgh who were 8.5 point winning favorites at home
to Cleveland. Altogether, it was good week for the favorites, with ten
winning, and the best performance coming from Jacksonville, who scored 30
points for the first time in 59 games to beat the line by 20.
INDIANAPOLIS @ CINCINNATI – BET LIVE IN PLAY
Su Nov 20 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
This week’s road game against Cincinnati provides Indy with one of their
stiffest tests so far, but they’ve got this far without breaking sweat and
bettors have seemingly already forgiven them for not covering last week’s
monster 17.5-point spread, after their emotional win over the Pats the
previous week. They still remain a perfect 5-0 both SU (straight up) and ATS
on the road, and that makes them banker material giving up a 5.5-point start
against Cincy (expect that line to move nearer game time). But don’t expect
a shootout. The two teams are ranked one and two in the NFL for points
allowed, so it’s tempting to parlay the ‘under’ with the Colts for this live
match-up (live betting available via our ‘In-Play Console’).
MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY – BET LIVE IN PLAY
Mo Nov 21 – 9:00 pm EST (ABC)/02:00 GMT
For this week’s second pick, we’re sticking with Green Bay, who did us a
good turn by covering last week in Atlanta, despite fielding a depleted WR
and RB corps. They also statistically outplayed Pittsburgh the week before,
and much of that is down to the previously unknown RB Samkon Gado. The
ex-Liberty player was handed the ball 25 times at Atlanta, producing 103
yards and two touchdowns, and his promotion into a lead position looks to
have turned the fortune of the whole team around. You wouldn’t normally be
backing 2-7 teams as 4.5-point favorites at this time of year but GB are the
exception up against as bad a football team as Minnesota. The Vikings may
have beaten the Giants last week, but were out gained 405-137, but their win
can be put down as one of those wacky results you get from time to time in
the NFL.
The big value in the Monday night game, however, has to be the total which
is currently set at 44.5. There are many different variations of value, but
the bottom line is finding a number that is not what you think it should be,
and this is way too high. The two teams played three weeks ago, when the
score was 23-20 to Minnesota (in a dome), with Daunte Culpepper playing his
best game of the season. Now without Culpepper, the Vikings didn’t score any
offensive touchdowns against the Giants, while the Packers didn’t score much
either. Both team defenses are also playing better now so take the ‘under’.
Again, we’ll have live betting available via our ‘In-Play Console’.
CASH IN ‘OVER’ WASHINGTON
Su Nov 20 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
At the opposite end of the scale, the number for the game in Washington
looks lower than it should be (currently 43). The fact that the Redskins are
supposed to have one of the best defenses in the NFL could account for the
artificially low number, but that plays to our advantage as a bettor. Both
of these teams come into the game struggling on the defensive side of the
ball, having each allowed over 27 points per game in their last three games
(three of the last four meetings have also gone over), and there’s no reason
to be believe that Sunday will be any different.
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
We’ll be backing all our picks in singles (as serious bettors should), but
it’s hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as
you’re assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay
Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF
parlays on the following 6 markets:-
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread,
First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend’s suggested parlay is on the following teams:
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our
In-Play service kicks in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page). This weekend’s live games are:
Ohio State @ Michigan
Sa Nov 19 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
Penn State @ Michigan State
Sa Nov 19 – 4:00 pm EST/21:00 GMT
TB Buccaneers @ ATL Falcons
Su Nov 20 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
IND Colts @ CIN Bengals
Su Nov 20 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
KC Chiefs @ HOU Texans
Su Nov 20 – 8:30 pm EST (ESPN)/01:30 GMT
MIN Vikings @ GB Packers
Mo Nov 21 – 9:00 pm EST/02:00 GMT
